September NAHB Housing Market Index At 14
Housing Market Index for September was reported at 14, down from 15 in August. Consensus was at 15.
I haven’t take a look at this for half a year. Still looking extremely weak.
Posts Tagged ‘U.S. Housing’
January NAHB Housing Market Index At 16
Housing Market Index for January was reported at 16, unchanged from October. Consensus was at 17
Nothing improving in housing-land..
November NAHB Housing Market Index At 16
Housing Market Index for October was reported at 16, unchanged from October. Consensus was also at 16.
November NAHB Housing Market Index At 16
Housing Market Index for November was reported at 16 vs. 15 in October (revised from 16). Consensus was at 17. Future component leading the index higher. Negative report; no improvements on the horizon as I believe future expectations components is overstated compared with traffic of perspective buyers component…
October NAHB Housing Market Index At 16
(For October 2010) Housing Market Index for October was reported at 16 vs. 13 in September. Consensus was at 14. All components up, especially future component. What do you have if you don’t have hope….? Chart 1. NAHB / Wells Fargo Housing Market Index
September NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index At 13
(For September) Housing Market Index for September came out at 13 vs. 13 in August. Consensus was at 14. All components unchanged except traffic of perspective buyers which edged 1 point lower. Chart 1. NAHB / Wells Fargo Housing Market Index
Monthly Strategy – March 2010
Equities In the macro arena we have leading indicators rolling over, and a stream of worse-than-expected data pieces on U.S. housing, U.S. employment, U.S. durable goods ordered and large move lower by consumer confidence. Seems that the markets do not appreciate the data. Things that move the markets are only FED policy on rates, dollar […]
U.S. Housing Inventory
I lot of optimism on housing inventory backlog coming down to 7 months supply. A view from David Rosenberg of Gluskin Sheff + Associates: So, while this data may well show that the inventory backlog has come down to what seems to be a respectable 7 months’ supply, we also know from the U.S. Census […]
Mixed Data
The day was filled with economic data . No clear conviction from the markets. Let’s start. Durable goods orders surprised to the downside falling 0.6% vs. positive 0.5% consensus and 1% rise (all MoM) in September. Ex-transportation orders came at -1.3% vs. 0.8% (all MoM) in September. Personal income and outlays data, on the other […]
Home Sales And Government Incentives
Markets ended lower despite existing home sales data (thanks to tax credit and seasonal adjustment looking exceptionally good) which came at 5.57 million at annual rate vs. 5.35 consensus and 5.1 in August. Blomberg story: U.S. Economy: Existing Home Sales Surge on Rush for Tax Credit. Median home price fell 1.4% on monthly level despite reduced share of distressed sale of 29% versus 50% levels earlier this year. The question here is weather we will see cash-for-clunkers winding down effect here or extension of the program. My guess is extension of some kind.
Housing And Currencies In Focus
Housing starts rose 0.5% in September to 590k units vs. 615k consensus representing 2.8% growth. August data was revised down from 598k units reported last month to 587k units. If we take this into account the consensus was projecting 4.7 increase; and the reported figure was 0.5%. Bloomberg link: Housing Starts in U.S. Increased Less Than Forecast.
U.S. Retail Sales
Just to touch briefly yesterdays retail sales. The figure was -1.5%; 0.5% ex autos vs. -2.1% and 0.3% consensus. Prior readings were 2.7% and 1.1%. Nothing to cheer here, most important aspect for me is the consequences of government stimulus withdrawal. The additional demand just evaporates.
Intel Earnings
The earnings announcement stream continues. Intel posted EPS of $0.33 vs $0.28 consensus. Revenue at $9.4 billion down 7.8% compared with the same period last year. The consensus was at $9.06 billion. More from Reuters: Intel quarterly results beat Street. The earnings season is proving to be what I wrote earlier “better than expected” earnings on cost cutting. It can’t go on indefinitely, we have to see some growth in revenue.