Global Macro Perspectives
Markets still focus on Europe and in particular Greece. There are some rumors today that Unicredit and Deutsche bank have ceased to accept Greek government bonds as a collateral; there are also some rumors that the capital flight from Greece is reaching alarming levels. It looks the Greece story is approaching its climax and we […]
As I wrote yesterday: Can’t See The Forest For The Trees; the EU deficit and debt problems are far smaller than for the U.S., particular U.S. states, U.K. and Japan. Jean- Claude Trichet seems to agree. Bloomberg story: Trichet Struggles to Convince on Euro-Area Solidity. Still, Trichet said the “solidity” of the euro area “is […]
The market looks like today is just an intro. The 1.085 level broken, and technicians say the next target is 1.035 (I don’t believe in that, but since a lot of investors looks at that…). Beside bad initial jobless claims (480.000 vs. 455.000 consensus and 470.000 consensus) the main theme is PIIGS (Portugal, Italy, Ireland, […]
Asia closed negative today, Europe is trading also negative -0.5% on average. After I started began to doubt my calls on TARP repayments as a potential correction catalyst the Citigroup equity offering has turn out to be full blown fiasco. The offering was priced yesterday at $3.15 per share, a 20+ percent lower the share […]
I feels like the markets are searching for a new theme. The signs of a U.S. dollar strength have scared off recent themes (falling dollar = rising risk assets). Combined with a Bank of America capital issuance and a desperate attempts of Citigroup and Wells Fargo to do the same have completely altered the investing […]
Bank of England released its Inflation report. Report suggests that “inflation may exceed 2% target in 2012”. Bloomberg story: Bank of England Lifts Forecasts for Inflation, Growth. Is it just me, or it sounds, let’s say, impossible for a country running budget deficits around 12% of the GDP in this and next year; with central […]