Rig Count Update – March 7, 2013
Number of crude oil drilling rigs in the U.S. was quite stable in the last 6 months. On a year level we had a small decrease.
On world scale number of oil & gas drilling rigs changed only for the change in the U.S.
Global Macro Perspectives
Number of crude oil drilling rigs in the U.S. was quite stable in the last 6 months. On a year level we had a small decrease.
On world scale number of oil & gas drilling rigs changed only for the change in the U.S.
Massive fall in gas drilling in recent months coupled with large increase in oil drilling.
Working gas in storage rose 28 Bcf from previous week. Consensus was at 29 Bcf.
Storage level is massive 810 Bcf higher than same time year ago and way above 5-year average.
Abundance of supply.
The consensus with which I agree is that the Euro zone is heading into a recession. While the economic activity has somewhat improved over the last months in the U.S. I remain doubtful whether the U.S. can escape the recession when Europe enters one. The data coming from China doesn’t (jet) point to a hard landing. For the time being it looks like that the Chinese government is in control. The measures to contain inflation and raising real-estate prices are successful, while in the same time China is has taken early steps to increase domestic consumption and re-balance the economy. One should not disregard and keep close watch on soft data coming from China especially in real estate and commodity related industries which are not reflected in the official data and could be pointing to serious issues.
Total collapse because of oversupply.
Working gas in storage fell 102 Bcf from previous week. Consensus was at -92 Bcf.
Storage level is 177 Bcf higher than same time year ago and above 5-year average.
Number of crude oil drilling rigs in the U.S. rose for 28 in the last month; Number of natural gas drilling rigs fell for 57.
Massive oversupply.
Further deterioration in fundamentals.
Total deterioration in fundamentals.
Working gas in storage rose 112 Bcf from previous week. Consensus was at 102 Bcf.
Storage level is 69 Bcf lower than same time year ago and has moved above 5-year average.
Leading economic indicators are pointing to a recession. At the time being it looks like it could be a mild one, but taken into account all the unknowns (EMU future, China slowdown, bank balance-sheet question) it could easily develop into something more ominous.
Working gas in storage rose 87 Bcf from previous week. Consensus was at 82 Bcf.
Storage level is 155 Bcf lower than same time year ago and bellow 5-year average.
Working gas in storage rose 64 Bcf from previous week. Consensus was also at 64 Bcf.
Storage level is 139 Bcf lower than same time year ago and bellow 5-year average.
Working gas in storage rose 55 Bcf from previous week. Consensus was at 60 Bcf.
Storage level is 145 Bcf lower than same time year ago and bellow 5-year average.