FOMC Minutes – October 12, 2011
This is fun. A colorful discussion with lots of opposing views.
Global Macro Perspectives
This is fun. A colorful discussion with lots of opposing views.
Looks like we have some eager FOMC members, so I suspect that we will have a serious discussion on QE 3 during the next FOMC meeting which will be held on 20th and 21st September.
As expected: rising commodity prices increased inflation but the effect are only transitory, asset purchase programs will be completed as scheduled, extended period formulation still here.
Inflation is transitory (whatever that means), no sign of removing “extended period” formulation, asset purchasing program to be completed.
The wording on strength of economic recovery is upgraded (“economic recovery is on a firmer footing”). Some improvement in labor market recognized.
Energy and commodities rising prices effect on inflation downplayed.
Did not have time to review this yesterday… Most important – economic projections were raised up. Theme remains unchanged: inflate.
New: Formulation that despite rise in commodity prices longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable and; Since Mr. Hoenig in no longer a voting member all FOMC members voted in favor of FOMC monetary policy action.
Nothing exciting and new upon first (skim)reading.
Literally nothing new here.
Only thing interesting are revisions to the committee’s forecasts for growth, unemployment, and inflation in the next three years.
$600 million over 8 months. More than consensus, but less what was expected before WSJ story. The pace of asset buying on lower bound of expectations. FED Press Release. Slow recovery confirmed. Core inflation measures moved lower. Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in September confirms that the pace of recovery in […]
Nothing special here, FOMC is determinate to provide further monetary stimulus by purchasing longer-dated treasuries. The question which they debated on is whether to provide these measures in case the speed of growth doesn’t pick up or in case the economic condition worsen. My take is, I would not bet that they will announce asset buying programe during November meeting, and […]
They admitted only that the pace of recovery has slowed in recent months and introduced a hint of additional measures. Like I expected only the weakening economic activity is not fully addressed. Unexpectedly a fear of deflation and a will to fight it is introduced into statement (in two instances), in my view completely off the mark. The main […]
Integral version. In general, something for everybody. Looks like it puzzled the markets, but I think the focus tomorrow will be on FOMC unwillingness (for the time being) to “resume large-scale asset purchases”. My take: Economic outlook. Little bit too positive in my view. In the economic forecast prepared for the AugustFOMC meeting, the staff lowered its projection for theincrease […]