Global Macro Perspectives
Looks like Nakheel PJSC bonds will be paid off in full. Bloomberg link: Abu Dhabi Bails Out Dubai World With $10 Billion.The move has prevented Asian stock exchanges from going into negative territory; Europe is trading up around 1% in average. Short follow up on last weeks U.S. economic data: Jobless claims ticked up reaching […]
I feels like the markets are searching for a new theme. The signs of a U.S. dollar strength have scared off recent themes (falling dollar = rising risk assets). Combined with a Bank of America capital issuance and a desperate attempts of Citigroup and Wells Fargo to do the same have completely altered the investing […]
After Germany (the U.S. is stimulating all the time), Japan announced some sort of stimulus. Telegraph story: Japan unveils $80bn of direct spending in $274bn stimulus package. $80 is peanuts for a Japan size of economy. The monetary stimulus was also small. Looks like politicians are trying to convince people they are doing something. Yesterday’s […]
Well I must admit that I don’t have a clue what’s happening in the markets now. The markets opened positive on large positive surprise in non-farm payrolls and in mid of trading everything reversed. Three reasons come to my mind: first is a deeper look in unemployment numbers; the second one would be the new […]
Back to norm. Dubai World announced debt restructuring talks on (only) $26 billion debt, and the crowd has gone wild. WSJ story (with nice interactive extras): Dubai World in Talks on Debt Restructuring. The dollar is falling again, risky assets are rising and the saga continues. New addition to the situation is The Bank of […]
We have first numbers for the Black Friday shopping season start. The number of people shopping increased to 195 million from last’s year 172 million; they have spent $42. 2 billion vs. $42 billion last year which translates into $343 per shopper vs. $372 last year. Nothing new here, the shift to buy discounted merchandise […]
Looks like markets are dismissing the potential Dubai World default as a catalyst for a meaningful correction. Nice outline of the situation by Telegraph: Dubai’s financial crisis: a Q&A. If the markets dismiss this as a not strong enough catalyst it will show the strength of the belief of the global economy is recovering. I […]
First of all, happy Thanksgiving Day to my U.S. readers! Market moving news of the day is definitely Dubai World asking its creditors a “standstill” as it tries to negotiate a extension of maturities for its debt. Bloomberg story: Dubai Debt Delay Rattles Confidence in Gulf Borrowers. Oh, what a surprise, they invested billions in […]