Global Macro Perspectives
Little late…but better late then never… Equities Only extremely favorable economic data could change the negative trend established. This is highly unlikely. So I would say we will soon see S&P 500 at 900. On a macro level, the stimulus is wearing off, politicians and central bankers are not ready to continue with loose fiscal an monetary policies, just the opposite, austerity is […]
Baltic Dirty Tanker Index fell 6.1%; Baltic Clean Tanker Index fell 6.3%. A reflection of the things happening in the capital markets… Chart 1. Baltic Tanker Indexes Relative Performance Chart 2. Baltic Tanker Indexes
Baltic Dirty Tanker Index fell 13.6%; Baltic Clean Tanker Index fell 4.5%. With trans-Atlantic product arbitrage being dead and world commodity markets rocking, the only possible route for the over-supplied market is down. Chart 1. Baltic Tanker Indexes Relative Performance Chart 2. Baltic Tanker Indexes
Crude oil stocks rose 2.5 million barrels; Other oils stocks rose 1.6 million barrels; Other category of stocks were mostly unchanged for the week ending May 21. Refinery utilization fell from 87.9% to 87.8%. Crude oil and petroleum product net imports rose to 11 million barrels. All categories of petroleum stocks are still at extremely […]
Baltic Dirty Tanker Index rose 1.8%; Baltic Clean Tanker Index fell 2.7%. Chart 1. Baltic Tanker Indexes Relative Performance Chart 2. Baltic Tanker Indexes
Belisarius is kind of tied up with his day job in the last few days, so my posting is not as timely as usual. Crude oil stocks and derivatives stocks were mostly unchanged for the week ending May 14. Refinery utilization fell from88.4% to 87.9%. Crude oil and petroleum product net imports were fell to […]
Baltic Dirty Tanker Index rose 10.3%; Baltic Clean Tanker Index rose 1.1%. International Energy Agency (IEA) reduced demand figures (especially on the call for OPEC crude and estimates of increased OECD stocks day cover) did not lower the rates, just contrary. Strong dirty and soft clean rates could again be a sign of weak demand […]
Crude oil stocks rose 1.9 million barrels for week ending May 7; Gasoline stocks fell 2.8 million barrels; Distillate stocks increased 1.4 million barrels; Propane/propylene stocks rose 2.8 million barrels; Other oils stocks were up 1.9 million barrels; Total crude oil and petroleum stocks were 3.4 million barrels higher than the week before. Refinery utilization […]
Baltic Dirty Tanker Index fell 0.4%; Baltic Clean Tanker Index fell 1.3%. No mayor freight rate moves despite financial turmoil. Chart 1. Baltic Tanker Indexes Relative Performance Chart 2. Baltic Tanker Indexes
Crude oil stocks rose 2.8 million barrels for week ending April 30; Gasoline stocks increased 1.3 million barrels; Distillate stocks rose 0.6 million barrels; Propane/propylene stocks increased 1.8 million barrels; Other oils stocks rose 1.5 million barrels; Total crude oil and petroleum stocks were 9.8 million barrels higher than the week before. Refinery utilization rose […]
Equities With my 1,200 S&P 500 target reached I’ve moved to a kind of a ambiguous stance to the markets. Now I believe the equity markets are bound for a 10%+ down move at least. My mid-term view remains unchanged – this is just a bear market rally; U.S. and E.U. economies will experience same […]
Baltic Dirty Tanker Index rose 2.1%; Baltic Clean Tanker Index increased 2.5%. The oversupply of shipping capacity is evident (especially in the product segment), despite increased crude oil volume transported. Chart 1. Baltic Tanker Indexes Relative Performance Chart 2. Baltic Tanker Indexes
Crude oil stocks rose 2 million barrels for week ending 23 April; Gasoline stocks fell 1.2 million barrels; Distillate stocks rose 2.9 million barrels; Propane/propylene stocks increased 3.6 million barrels; Other oils stocks rose 1.1 million barrels; Total crude oil and petroleum stocks were 12.9 million barrels higher than the week before. Refinery utilization rose […]
Baltic Dirty Tanker Index rose 2.5%; Baltic Clean Tanker Index increased 6%. A touch of reality coming to the markets with vessel owners realizing the May demand could be weaker than (over-optimistically) expected. Despite much effort your favorite blogger didn’t find a single interesting story in the sector this week. Chart 1. Baltic Tanker Indexes […]
Crude oil stocks rose 1.9 million barrels for week ending 16 April; Gasoline stocks were up 3.6 million barrels; Distillate stocks rose 2.1 million barrels; Propane/propylene stocks increased 1.7 million barrels; Other oils stocks rose 0.9 million barrels; Total crude oil and petroleum stocks were 10.7 million barrels higher than the week before. Refinery utilization […]