Daily Reading – Friday, November 4, 2011

*** Bond Vigilantes: Why you shouldn’t just read the headlines on US unemployment ***
*** FT Alphaville: About that last bastion of health in Europe ***
*** FT Alphaville: Five steps to financial crisis ***
*** An American Perspective from China: NPR and CNN: More On Europe and China ***
*** The Big Picture: QOTD: Chanos on Europe, China ***
*** The Big Picture: Are Italian Yields Once Again At The Tipping Point? ***
*** The Big Picture: A Short NFP Q&A ***

U.S. Natural Gas Weekly – November 4, 2011

Further deterioration in fundamentals.

October Nonfarm Payrolls Rose 80.000; Private Payrolls Up 104.000; Unemployment Rate At 9.0%

Nonfarm payrolls rose 80.000 in October; Consensus was at 95.000; September reading was an increase of 158.000 (revised up 55.000). Unemployment was reported at 9.0% vs. prior reading and consensus of 9.1%.

Daily Reading – Thursday, November 3, 2011

*** FT Alphaville: ECB cuts rates 25bps ***
*** FT Alphaville: Isda has a bone to pick with you (and so can we!) ***
*** FT Alphaville: FOMC statement, 2 November 2011 ***
*** The Big Picture: FOMC Statement – Changes Versus Last Month ***
*** Econbrowser: Exports in the Recovery ***

U.S. Initial Jobless Claims At 397.000; Down 9.000

Initial jobless claims in the U.S. were reported at 402.000 vs. 401.000 consensus and last week revised (up 1.000) reading of 404.000.

U.S. Petroleum Weekly – November 3, 2011

I would say that the market is balanced now and all depends on the economic conditions.

Daily Reading – Wednesday, November 2, 2011

*** BeyondBRICs: Andy Xie: China shouldn’t aid eurozone ***
*** BeyondBRICs: Guangzhou: prime land auction flops ***
*** FT Alphaville: What is going on in Italian T-bills? ***
*** FT Alphaville: Eurozone PMIs – Feeling gloomy ***
*** PIMCO: Pennies from Heaven ***
*** Advisor Perspectives: ECRI Recession Watch: Growth Index Virtually Unchanged ***
*** Bloomberg: Greece Will Eventually Leave Euro, Rogoff Says ***
*** New York Magazine: Kim Kardashian Is a Smart Investor ***

October Challenger Job-Cuts At 42,759

Challenger’s count of layoff announcements was reported at 42,759 in October vs. 115,730 in September.

ADP Employment Rose 110,000 In October

ADP Employment rose 110,000 in October vs. revised (up 25,000) gain of 116,000 in September.

Daily Reading – Thursday, October 27, 2011

*** The Tell: Top 10 greetings on Hu Jintao’s voice mail – Must read! ***
*** Gavyn Davies: EMU summit leaves €1,000 billion to be raised ***
*** FT Alphaville: Greek lessons from John Major, Latvia and Ireland ***
*** FT Alphaville: Who can (or cannot) cut it ***
*** Macro Man: RIP DM Sovereign CDS (2006-2011) ***
*** The Big Picture: Is Amazon the Latest Victim of Apple? ***
*** The Economist: Hard times ***

U.S. Initial Jobless Claims At 402.000; Down 1.000

Initial jobless claims in the U.S. were reported at 402.000 vs. 401.000 consensus and last week revised (up 1.000) reading of 404.000.

U.S. GDP Growth in Q3 2011 At 2.5%

U.S. GDP growth for Q3 was reported at 2.5%; consensus was at 2.5%. Q2 2011 reading was at 1.3%.

U.S. Petroleum Weekly – October 27, 2011

Strong price action in the front end of the curve pushed the WTI into backwardation.

My Take On EU Agreement On Greece

So, the basis of the agreement is a 50% cut in the face value of Greek bonds held by private creditors. The agreement will reduce Greek debt level to 120% of GDP by 2020.

U.S. Durable Goods New Orders Fell 0.8% In September

Durable goods new orders fell 0.8% in September vs. -1.0% consensus and 0.1% fall in August.

 

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