FOMC Minutes – January 4, 2011
Nothing exciting and new upon first (skim)reading.
Global Macro Perspectives
Nothing exciting and new upon first (skim)reading.
No secret I’m a big fan of Niall Ferguson. This is a great lecture on empire declines.
Baltic exchange released it’s first pricing after Christmas. Baltic Dry Index was reported down 4.5% at 1,693. Lowest reading since April 2009.
*** The Telegraph: Overheating East to falter before the bankrupt West recovers ***
*** Council on Foreign Relations: When Irish IOUs are Smouldering ***
*** Project-Syndicate: Armageddon Can Wait ***
*** Caixin Online: Good Tidings in 2011 ***
*** The Big Picture: AAII Asset Allocation Survey: Bond Holdings at a 10-Month Low ***
*** The Big Picture: BofA Freddie Mac Putbacks Resolved for 1¢ on $ ***
*** Calculated Risk: House Prices: More Pessimistic Views ***
*** Guardian.co.uk: Albert Edwards, SocGen bear, takes a bite out of China ***
*** The Big Picture: What to Expect in 2011 ***
*** The Big Picture: FDIC Bank Closings for 2010 ***
*** Calculated Risk: WSJ: Key to Real-Estate Rebound ***
*** Calculated Risk: Krugman: Deep Hole Economics ***
Happy New Year! Best wishes for 2010!
It has to be confirmed till January 20th, 2010 to be regarded as a sell signal.
Merry Christmas to all of my readers!
Working gas in storage fell 184 Bcf from previous week. The consensus was at 180 Bcf.
Storage level higher than year ago.
Visualizing Friendships By Facebook.
Usual service continues on Monday.
The bond sell-off was much hyped across the media and various commentators have provided various explanations. From my point of view all of the reason’s given don’t make much sense. So, we’ll have to wait and see if something meaningful comes along.
I’ll only repeat the famous phrase ” Don’t fight the FED”, especially taking into account that they (FED) have proved that they are capable of doing everything needed to achieve their goals.
Summary: Economy is barely expanding at a sustainable pace; Will print more money if needed.
Working gas in storage fell 23 Bcf from previous week. Consensus was at -29 Bcf.
To repeat: I expect large draws in following weeks.
No real change in ECB policy and measures.