Tanker Weekly – September 5, 2011
Both indexes were unchanged last week.
Global Macro Perspectives
Both indexes were unchanged last week.
Baltic dry index rose 12.9% last week; Capesize Index was up 26.8%; Panamax Index fell 1.3%; Supramax Index was down 0.6%; Handysize Index rose 0.4%.
My feeling is that the rate increases are mostly sentiment driven and not backed by supply and demand fundamentals.
Iron ore inventory close to all time high, price edging up; Steel inventory and price stable; Coal inventory and price also stable.
Working gas in storage rose 55 Bcf from previous week. Consensus was at 60 Bcf.
Storage level is 145 Bcf lower than same time year ago and bellow 5-year average.
Nonfarm payrolls were unchanged in August; Consensus was at 60.000; July reading was an increase of 85.000 (revised down 32.000). The unemployment was reported at 9.1% vs. prior reading and consensus of 9.1%.
Private payrolls were up 17.000 vs. 95.000 consensus and 156.000 reading in July (revised up 2.000).
Large negative surprise and a confirmation of economic slowdown.
Not much has changed from August. The leading economic indicator are not pointing to any king of recovery from recent weakness.
Initial jobless claims in the U.S. were reported at 407.000 vs. 410.000 consensus and last week revised (up 4.000) reading of 421.000.
Official (China Federation of Logistics & Purchasing and National Bureau of Statistics) China PMI rose form 50.7 to 50.9; Consensus was at 51.0.
HSBC/Markit PMI rose from 59.3 to 49.9.