August Chicago Purchasing Managers Index At 56.5
Chicago Purchasing Managers Index was reported at 56.5. Consensus was at 53.3, prior reading at 58.8.
Global Macro Perspectives
Chicago Purchasing Managers Index was reported at 56.5. Consensus was at 53.3, prior reading at 58.8.
Challenger’s count of layoff announcements was reported at 51,114 in August vs. 66,414 in July.
ADP Employment rose 91,000 in August vs. revised (down 5,000) gain of 109,000 in July.
Looks like we have some eager FOMC members, so I suspect that we will have a serious discussion on QE 3 during the next FOMC meeting which will be held on 20th and 21st September.
The Daily Ticker: ECRI’s Achuthan: “No Upturn Yet…More Weakness” Ahead, But Jury Still Out on Recession.
Conference Board consumer confidence came out at 44.5 vs. 52.0 consensus and 59.5 reading for July.
Lowest since April 2009. Massive negative surprise.
Seasonly adjusted S&P/Case-Shiller HPI 10 city was unchanged in June; On year level 10 city index is down 3.9%.
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Baltic Dirty Tanker Index rose 0.6%; Baltic Clean Tanker Index was unchanged.
High volume of fixing, but supply more than enough to cover the demand.
U.S. personal income rose 0.3% in July vs. 0.3% consensus and 0.2% rise in June (revised up 0.1%). On y-o-y level personal income is up 5.3%.
Baltic dry index rose 5.4% last week; Capesize Index was up 5.7%; Panamax Index rose 2.6%; Supramax Index was up 3.7%; Handysize Index rose 2.9%.
My feeling is that the rate increases are mostly sentiment driven and not backed by supply and demand fundamentals.
Iron ore inventory at new all time high, price edging up; Steel inventory and price stable; Coal inventory and price also stable.
In short – A big nothing
U.S. Q2 GDP growth second estimate was reported at 1.0%; prior estimate was at 1.3%; consensus was at 1.1%. Q1 2011 reading was at +0.4% .
Two years have passed.
Initial jobless claims in the U.S. were reported at 417.000 vs. 405.000 consensus and last week revised (up 4.000) reading of 412.000.