Tanker Weekly – June 13, 2011
Baltic Dirty Tanker Index fell 4.1%; Baltic Clean Tanker Index fell 6.0%.
Global Macro Perspectives
Baltic Dirty Tanker Index fell 4.1%; Baltic Clean Tanker Index fell 6.0%.
The most broad measure of money supply – M2 rose 15.1% y-o-y in May vs. 15.5% consensus and 15.3% rise in April.
Chinese banks issued CNY 552 billion of new loans in May vs. CNY 740 billion in April and consensus of CNY 650 billion. New loan issuance January-May is 11.7% lower than in 2010.
Working gas in storage rose 80 Bcf from previous week. The consensus was at 78 Bcf.
Storage level is 269 Bcf lower than same time year ago and bellow 5-year average.
This looks promising.
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China trade balance was reported at USD 13.5 billion vs. USD 11.4 billion in April and USD 19.3 billion consensus. Export and import growth were running at 19.4 and 28.4 percent vs. 29.9 and 21.8 percent y-o-y in April.
Big miss, but we had large positive surprise in April.
ECRI’s Lakshman Achuthan talks on global outlook for growth.
Demand is strengthening, crude oil stocks declined, distillates increased. Supply/demand balance is tight.
Initial jobless claims in the U.S. were reported at 427.000 vs. 418.000 consensus and last week revised (up 4.000) reading of 426.000.
Historically quite high level, consistent with a bellow average economic growth.
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MBA mortgage applications fell 0.4%; Prior reading was a fall of 4.0%; On year level MBA Basic Index is down 7.7%.
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Baltic dry index rose 1.5% last week; Capesize Index was up 8.1%; Panamax Index fell 4.1%; Supramax Index was down 1.0%; Handysize Index fell 1.9%.
Thermal coal stockpiles ticked up but are still at extremely low levels; Steel stockpiles fell but stocks are high; Iron ore stockpiles recorder a massive rise reaching new record high. Prices still strong.
Iron ore inventory rise could be a early warning sign of stronger than expected China slowdown.
Baltic Dirty Tanker Index fell 4.1%; Baltic Clean Tanker Index fell 6.0%.
Holidays in the U.S. and in Europe slowed the demand and brought lower rates.