ECRI Weekly Leading Index Down 9.8%
We are just 0.2% shy of -10.0% critical level which has historically predicted recession with 100% accuracy. Chart 1. ECRI Weekly Leading Index
Global Macro Perspectives
We are just 0.2% shy of -10.0% critical level which has historically predicted recession with 100% accuracy. Chart 1. ECRI Weekly Leading Index
U.S. consumer price index fell 0.1% in June, right at the consensus. May reading was at -0.2%. Consumer price index fell less food & energy came out at 0.2%. The consensus was at 0.2%, May reading was at 0.1%. Again, no inflation in sight. Chart 1. Consumer Price Index
Consumer sentiment for July came out at 66.5 vs. 75.0 consensus and 76.0 June reading. Another leading indicator rolling over. Chart 1. University of Michigan/Reuters Consumer Sentiment
And the slide is over… Chart 1. Baltic Dry Index